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That 2023 will be the warmest recorded year is almost a given. The more interesting question, as far as the climate crisis is concerned, is whether the planet will also breach the 1.5-degree warming compared to the pre-industrial average barrier in 2023. The 1.5-degree threshold is among the key objectives of the Paris Agreement, and considered crucial for preventing irreversible damages because of global warming. An HT analysis of various long-term datasets shows that while the 1.5-degree barrier could be breached in at least one as differences in the way global warming is measured lead to varying estimates of global warming in 2023.

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